Projections for the first quarter of 2026 appear especially bleak according to certain experts. Cox Automotive, for instance, anticipates a 6.5 percent decline in total new vehicle sales during this period, alongside a dramatic 28 percent drop in EV purchases. Stephanie Valdez Streaty, Cox's director of industry insights, notes that unless fuel costs remain persistently high, travel frequency may decrease. The firm emphasized that shifting consumer preferences toward compact, fuel-efficient models would require long-term certainty about elevated gasoline prices, rather than temporary spikes.
Reuben N. S. Rowe, Royal Holloway University of London
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